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Patterns of Change Telecom Tectonics The rapid market uptake of wireless technologies and the rising tide of voice-over-Internet technologies and systems portend systemic change in an already troubled telecom industry. What happens to the stranded costs of the increasingly obsolete switched network? What share of the market for voice communications will the cable companies and Internet service providers pick up? What effect will shared-spectrum technologies have should they prove to be practical technically and commercially? Will telcos emerging from bankruptcy proceedings have an advantage over still-solvent service providers that are straddled with legacy-infrastructure debt? Consumers can afford to watch and wait for the telecom continents to shift, but businesses will have to be more proactive in setting their telecom strategy in order to remain competitive. Page 2. Distributed Identities Security systems that put all their eggs in one basket (by depending on single, unique identifiers such as a biometric like fingerprints) are creating brittle systems with significant points of failure that are very unpopular with consumers to boot. Page 6 Items Worth Noting Trivial Pursuits Downloadable music ring tones for cell phones have already grown into a $1.3 billion market worldwide. Viewer voting on the U.K. version of the Big Brother reality-TV show generated $2.1 million in revenue. Page 7. Fuel-Cell–Powered Laptop Computers Toshiba has plans to market a laptop computer powered by a fuel cell in 2004. A fuel-cell–powered PDA won’t be far behind. Page 8. Sensor Nets Intel plans to embed software into sensor networks that will allow the networks to output usable information instead of just raw data. Page 8. |
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