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In this issue:
* New Fuel Cell for Laptops
* First Steps toward Pervasive Computing
* Trust in Financial-Service Providers
* The Digital Future
* Mobile Learning
* Spotlight on Speech-to-Speech Translation
* A Consumer-Centric Approach to Product Categories
* U.S. Digital-Copyright Law
* China in Global Electronic Markets
* Uncertainty in the Semiconductor Market
* Signals of Change
* Correction: Credit Where Credit Is Due
* SRIC-BI in the Press
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Recent Publications
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New Fuel Cell for Laptops
Toshiba Corporation has unveiled a prototype of a
direct-methanol fuel cell for use in laptop computers that
the company says will be ready for commercialization in
2004. The new fuel cell can power a laptop computer
continuously for some five hours with a single cartridge of
fuel, and recharging is simply a matter of replacing the
depleted fuel cell with a new one. (April 2003 Portable
Batteries Viewpoints)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Explorer/PB.shtml
First Steps toward Pervasive Computing
Communication is likely to be the gateway to pervasive
computing, both because of existing strong demand for
communications technologies and because of advances in the
technology enablers. Rapid implementation of wireless
networks and the potential of collaboration software for
context awareness are particularly noteworthy communications
developments, bringing both short- and long-term effects to
the field of pervasive computing. (Communications as the
Gateway to Pervasive Computing)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Scan/ScanMonthly/SM002.shtml#D03-2424
Trust in Financial-Service Providers
A comparison of MacroMonitor survey data from 1994 and 2002
shows that financial intermediaries such as brokers and
financial planners have had greater success retaining the
trust of consumers than financial institutions have.
Consumers continue to regard depository institutions as the
most trustworthy financial institutions, but their level of
trust has declined during the eight-year period. Trust in
insurance and mutual-fund companies has increased
significantly, whereas the percentage of households that
hardly trust full-service and discount brokerages has risen.
(Trust in Financial Institutions and Professionals)
http://www.sric-bi.com/CFD/MRsummaries/MR.VI-02.shtml
The Digital Future
A new Digital Futures report highlights developments of
importance to businesses that depend on digital technology
to deliver value to their customers. Among the issues that
will affect the digital future are outbreaks of counterfeit
hardware, a restructuring of entertainment industries, the
coming "age wave," and the potential for user-created
Internet content to increase the emphasis on personalization
of content, create microniches for advertising, and
introduce effects beyond the control of businesses and
governments. (Digital Futures Scan: Spring 2003)
http://www.sric-bi.com/DF/summaries/DFScan0403.shtml
Mobile Learning
Advances in wireless and cellular network technologies,
mobile devices, and learning-related software offer
exciting opportunities for eLearning vendors and users.
However, these developments do not guarantee dramatic growth
in mobile learning. Moreover, the future of mobile learning
will vary in the United States, Europe, and Japan because of
differences in the distribution of networks and devices in
these regions. (Mobile Learning: A Perspective on the
Present and the Future)
http://www.sric-bi.com/LoD/bulletins.shtml
Spotlight on Speech-to-Speech Translation
Speech-to-speech translation briefly came into the limelight
when the media reported on the U.S. armed forces' use of
translation devices in Bosnia in 2001 and Afghanistan in
2002. But despite such early applications and promising
benefits and markets, developers of speech-to-speech
technology must overcome numerous challenges before
targeting mainstream markets. (April 2003 Speech Interfaces
Viewpoints)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Explorer/SI.shtml
A Consumer-Centric Approach to Product Categories
Traditionally, companies have defined their competitors as
players that offer products in the same technical category.
This view is increasingly untenable, given that products in
different categories may offer similar benefits to
consumers, whereas products in the same category may not
compete directly with one another. To avoid losing
competitive ground, companies are wise to adopt a
consumer-centered framework for evaluating their product mix
and their competition. (Reconceptualizing the Competitive
Environment of Consumer Products)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Scan/ScanMonthly/SM002.shtml#D03-2423
U.S. Digital-Copyright Law
In the United States, the central piece of legislation in
the battle to protect copyrighted digital materials is the
U.S. Digital Millennium Copyright Act. If the legislation
receives support in pending legal decisions, some people
fear it could roll back well-established rights of reverse
engineering and transform the competitive environment in a
number of industries. (Digital Copyright: Clouding the
Competitive Environment)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Scan/ScanMonthly/SM002.shtml#D03-2422
China in Global Electronic Markets
China's acceptance into the World Trade Organization was a
bellwether event for the country, paving the way for it to
apply its significant resources in global markets and to
open its vast consumer market to companies around the world.
The potential is particularly great in the electronics
business, where China's ambitions have implications for the
materials and equipment supply chain, the design and
manufacture of integrated circuits, and the supply and
demand of end products and services, including software.
(China's Role in the Global Electronic Future)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Scan/ScanMonthly/SM002.shtml#D03-2425
Uncertainty in the Semiconductor Market
Semiconductor-industry data for 2002 present conflicting
messages. Most people believe that the semiconductor market
is at its lowest ebb right now, and no one is sure when a
recovery might begin. However, gradually rising fab-use
rates, rising book-to-bill ratios for equipment vendors, and
industrywide movement toward supply-and-demand parity are
likely to bring some improvement in the latter half of 2003.
(April 2003 Advanced Silicon Microelectronics/ULSI
Viewpoints)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Explorer/ULSI.shtml
Signals of Change
Japan's activities in China will have significant impacts on
global direct-investment flows, the health of other Asian
economies, and U.S. and European corporate strategies. The
April issue of Scan Monthly assesses Japan's future in
China, along with several other signals of change.
Additional writeups look at the implications of corporate
instant messaging, red flags in the use of radio-frequency
identification tags, and fraud-versus-fraud strategies for
combating unwanted Internet practices. (Scan Monthly, April
2003)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Scan/ScanMonthly/SM002.shtml#SoCs
Correction: Credit Where Credit Is Due
Last month's newsletter cited an incorrect source for two
recent reports on the implications of nanotechnology for the
chemical industry. The reports--Nanoscale Chemicals and
Materials and Polymer Nanocomposites--are the work of
analysts at SRI Consulting. (March 2003 Nanotechnology
Viewpoints)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Explorer/NT.shtml
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Presentations and Press by SRIC-BI Staff
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* "The Outlook for Third Generation (3G) Cellular Technology"
by David E. Benson, Senior Consultant, in the March 2003
Newsletter of the Silicon Valley Roundtable of the National
Association of Business Economists
* "Do Consumers Have Too Much Debt?" by Larry Cohen, Director
of Consumer Financial Decisions, at SmartMoney.com
http://www.sric-bi.com/news.shtml
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Copyright 2003 by SRI Consulting Business Intelligence.
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