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In this issue:
* Chips in Cars
* Retirement in the Twenty-First Century
* Web Services from the Ground Up
* Debate about AI Approaches
* The Homeland-Security Research Agenda
* Signals of Change
* Genomics in the Food Industry
* Challenges for Microbatteries
* Clues to Consumers' Future Purchase Decisions
* Neural Networks in eLearning
* News at SRIC-BI
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(Full text of SRIC-BI publications is available to
sponsoring clients only. To find out if your company is a
sponsor, please visit http://www.sric-bi.com/info.shtml.)
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Recent Publications
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Chips in Cars
Today, some 2% of the value of the average vehicle
comes from semiconductors. Thus, predictions that
vehicle production will rise from 58 million vehicles
in 2001 to 73 million by 2010 are good news for
leading suppliers of automotive semiconductors.
Chip builders currently perceive the automotive
market to be less volatile than, say, the PC market,
so a steady increase in the amount of software and
electronics components in future vehicles spells a
reliable (if less lucrative) business opportunity.
(June 2003 Advanced Silicon Microelectronics/ULSI Viewpoints)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Explorer/ULSI.shtml
Retirement in the Twenty-First Century
Recognizing that traditional definitions of retirement
are no longer helpful, SRIC-BI's Consumer Financial
Decisions group has defined several groups of retirees
by life stage rather than age. One key segment is the
so-called Revolving Retired, who are either partially
retired or have gone back to work after retirement.
This generally affluent group is a potentially
profitable customer segment for financial-services
providers because of its changing needs and general
trust in financial intermediaries. (Twenty-First-
Century Retirement: The Revolving-Retired Life Stage)
http://www.sric-bi.com/CFD/MRsummaries/MR.VI-03.shtml
Web Services from the Ground Up
As prime players in the future of Web services, IBM,
Microsoft, and other major information-technology
vendors are struggling to define the standards,
architecture, and software necessary to provide
stable, secure services. Meanwhile, developers, who
are leery of vendors' grand visions, are downloading
publicly available Web-services interfaces to Google
and Amazon software and creating Web services from
the ground up. (June 2003 Component-Based Software
Engineering Viewpoints)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Explorer/CBSE.shtml
Debate about AI Approaches
Today, bottom-up approaches prevail in artificial-
intelligence (AI) research. These approaches program
large numbers of entities with relatively simple
sets of rules and create a form of swarm intelligence
when the entities operate in concert. In contrast,
Marvin Minsky, founder of the MIT Artificial
Intelligence Laboratory, favors a top-down approach
that calls for coding thousands of logic rules and
relations into a central intelligence repository to
create a form of common sense typical of humans.
(Bottom-Up versus Top-Down Artificial Intelligence)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Scan/ScanMonthly/SM004.shtml#D03-2431
The Homeland-Security Research Agenda
The new U.S. Department of Homeland Security is
resetting the biotechnology research agenda, prompting
U.S. national laboratories to focus on biodefense
agents such as vaccines and sensors for detecting
biological threats. In the realm of information
technology (IT), anticipation of department spending
on R&D is giving rise to considerable hype, but the
real opportunity will be to apply existing IT
technology to link the 22 federal agencies that
constitute the department. (Homeland Security: High-
Tech on the Defensive)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Scan/ScanMonthly/SM004.shtml#D03-2433
Signals of Change
Thanks to emerging radio-frequency-identification
technology, every product on store shelves could have
its own Web locator--a prospect that could transform
supply chains and extend value chains. This topic is
one of several signals of change in the June 2003 issue
of Scan Monthly. Other topics include use of brands as
valuable access networks, geocaching, and prospects to
use cooking oil to create biodiesel fuel. (Scan Monthly,
June 2003)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Scan/ScanMonthly/SM004.shtml
Genomics in the Food Industry
To date, most commercial applications of genomics
technologies have been in the pharmaceutical industry,
but the technologies have good prospects in food
production as well. Genomics will help food producers
improve crop resistance and reproduction, increase the
growth rates of fish-farm stocks, defend against
biological weapons that threaten the food supply,
develop methods of testing for genetically modified
material in food samples, and detect food pathogens in
food-processing facilities. (June 2003 Genomics
Viewpoints)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Explorer/GEN.shtml
Challenges for Microbatteries
Thin-film lithium microbatteries are ideal candidates
for powering a range of microelectromechanical systems,
microrobots, microsensors, and integrated circuits.
However, to realize commercial success, developers need
to tackle issues of packaging, power density, stand-
alone battery thickness, and production efficiency. In
the short term, radio-frequency-identification tags,
smart cards, and medical implantables are the most
promising applications for the batteries. (Solid-State
Thin-Film Microbattery Developments)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Scan/ScanMonthly/SM004.shtml#D03-2432
Clues to Consumers' Future Purchase Decisions
Marketers know that consumers' past purchase behavior
influences their future purchase decisions. Now, new
technologies for collecting consumer information are
opening the door to more sophisticated analyses of this
connection. For example, companies can gain insights by
looking at the way that consumers move from one product
category to another. (Influences of Past Purchases on
Future Purchase Decisions)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Scan/ScanMonthly/SM004.shtml#D03-2430
Neural Networks in eLearning
Despite years of research, intelligent tutoring
systems (ITSs) have found only a few niche applications
so far. However, advances in eLearning may soon lead to
their resurgence. Neural networks have a role to play
in these systems, allowing ITSs to react to a variety
of student behaviors. (June 2003 Neural Networks
Viewpoints)
http://www.sric-bi.com/Explorer/NN.shtml
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News at SRIC-BI
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Press Release: New Applications of Speech Technology
According to a recent SRIC-BI press release, technology
analysts in SRIC-BI's Explorer service foresee promising
market opportunities for speech-technology products and
services for small and home offices. For example,
speech-enabled software will allow online businesses and
wireless carriers to check customers' credit. Other
applications include a low-cost turnkey interactive-
voice-response system, speech-enabled solutions for
recording the attendance of mobile or home-office
workers, and an information tool for real-estate
professionals. (June 2003 Speech Interfaces Viewpoints)
http://www.sric-bi.com/press/2003-07-07.shtml
http://www.sric-bi.com/Explorer/SI.shtml
Two Service Options in Digital Futures
SRIC-BI's Digital Futures program now offers two
service options for clients. Businesses can sponsor
one or both of the options, which focus on two industry
sectors: Mobile Communications covers cellular networks,
devices, and peripherals, as well as PDAs, automotive
telematics products and services, and other digital
innovations for mobile environments. Digital Homes and
Offices covers broadband Internet, digital TV, home
networks, voice over Internet, and other digital
innovations for fixed sites.
http://www.sric-bi.com/DF/
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Copyright 2003 by SRI Consulting Business Intelligence.
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